J1 League 2026 forecastfixtures limited
updated 2026-10-21
The new season has started but no fixture list has been published for it yet, so there is nothing left for the model to simulate — the probability columns below just restate the matches already played, not a forecast. They become meaningful once the schedule appears.
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 23 | 23.0 | >99% | >99% | 0% |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 23 | 23.0 | 0% | >99% | 0% |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 23 | 23.0 | 0% | >99% | 0% |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 22 | 22.0 | 0% | >99% | 0% |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 21 | 21.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 19 | 19.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 16 | 16.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 16 | 16.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 15 | 15.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 14.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 13.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 12.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | Mito | 9 | 9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | >99% |
| 19 | Chiba | 6 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | >99% |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy 1969 | 4 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | >99% |
Competition rules
Champion + next 3 reach the AFC Champions League Elite/Two (approximate) · bottom 3 relegated to J2
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive J1 League dashboard →