Entenser

K League 1 2026 forecastfull forecast

82% of the season played · updated 2026-09-08
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
>99%
Relegation
>99%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1FC Seoul5966.9>99%>99%0%
2Ulsan Hyundai FC4451.70%71%0%
3Jeonbuk Motors4251.00%65.7%0%
4Gangwon FC4049.30%40.4%0%
5Jeju United FC3947.20%13.8%0%
6Incheon United3745.00%5%0%
7Daejeon Citizen3544.40%3.4%0%
8Pohang Steelers3542.00%<1%0%
9FC Anyang3441.50%<1%0%
10Bucheon FC 19953137.60%0%0%
11Gimcheon Sangmu FC2835.50%0%0%
12Gwangju FC1318.80%0%>99%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeju United FC29.5% W · 32.9% D · 37.6% L
Sat Sep 12Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul30.4% W · 33.1% D · 36.5% L
Sat Sep 12Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Incheon United34.1% W · 32.6% D · 33.3% L
Sat Sep 12Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers42.5% W · 31.5% D · 26% L
Sun Sep 13Gwangju FC vs FC Anyang27.1% W · 30% D · 42.9% L
Sun Sep 13Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC29.3% W · 33.6% D · 37.1% L
Sat Sep 19FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC28.7% W · 29.8% D · 41.5% L
Sat Sep 19Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC33% W · 32.8% D · 34.2% L

Competition rules

Champion, runner-up, and 3rd reach the AFC Champions League Elite/Two (approximate — a Korea Cup wildcard berth isn't modeled) · bottom club (12th) relegated automatically; 10th-11th enter a relegation playoff vs K League 2 sides (not modeled) · the real format splits into a Championship Round (top 6) / Relegation Round (bottom 6) after 33 rounds — not modeled here, this is the plain full-season table · results-only: no ESPN schedule source and the API-Football free plan only serves 2022-2024 (no current-season fixtures) · no probabilities source

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

FC SeoulUlsan Hyundai FCJeonbuk MotorsGangwon FCJeju United FCIncheon United

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive K League 1 dashboard →

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