Saudi Pro League 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 0 | 78.9 | 34.9% | 98.1% | 0% |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 0 | 78.2 | 30.6% | 97.5% | 0% |
| 3 | Al Ahli | 0 | 75.2 | 18.1% | 94.4% | 0% |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 0 | 74.7 | 16.3% | 94% | 0% |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 0 | 52.4 | <1% | 6.1% | <1% |
| 6 | Al Taawoun | 0 | 51.4 | <1% | 4.8% | <1% |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 0 | 47.9 | 0% | 2.3% | 2% |
| 8 | Neom SC | 0 | 44.8 | 0% | 1% | 3.7% |
| 9 | Al Shabab | 0 | 43.4 | 0% | <1% | 5.3% |
| 10 | Al Fateh | 0 | 40.6 | 0% | <1% | 9% |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 0 | 40.2 | 0% | <1% | 9.5% |
| 12 | Al Hazem | 0 | 38.5 | 0% | <1% | 13.1% |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 0 | 36.9 | 0% | <1% | 17.5% |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 0 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 28.4% |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 0 | 33.2 | 0% | 0% | 29.9% |
| 16 | Abha | 0 | 27.1 | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| 17 | Al-Faisaly | 0 | 27.1 | 0% | 0% | 59.8% |
| 18 | Al Diriyah | 0 | 26.9 | 0% | 0% | 60.5% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion + top sides reach the AFC Champions League Elite (approximate) · bottom 3 relegated
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Saudi Pro League dashboard →