Entenser

Saudi Pro League 2026 forecastfull forecast

21% of the season played · updated 2026-09-15
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
78.5%
Champ
11.4%
Champ
7.4%
Relegation
87.7%
Relegation
60.7%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1Al Hilal1883.878.5%99.9%0%
2Al Qadsiah1675.111.4%95%0%
3Al Nassr1673.07.4%90.7%0%
4Al Ahli1270.22.6%79.3%0%
5Al Ittihad1761.7<1%24.2%0%
6Neom SC1556.20%8.3%0%
7Al Diriyah1152.30%2.1%0%
8Al Ettifaq1147.20%<1%<1%
9Al Kholood1242.40%0%<1%
10Al Hazem836.30%0%7.1%
11Al Fayha635.20%0%9.8%
12Al Shabab433.10%0%17.2%
13Al Taawoun332.70%0%22.3%
14Al Riyadh832.50%0%21.3%
15Al Fateh329.80%0%33.5%
16Al Khaleej528.80%0%39.4%
17Al Faisaly326.00%0%60.7%
18Abha220.50%0%87.7%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Thu Oct 22Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej83.6% W · 12.3% D · 4.1% L
Thu Oct 22Al Fateh vs Al Shabab32.8% W · 32.1% D · 35.1% L
Thu Oct 22Al Hazem vs Al Fayha36.6% W · 32.8% D · 30.7% L
Fri Oct 23Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal25.1% W · 25.1% D · 49.8% L
Fri Oct 23Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr4.7% W · 15.7% D · 79.6% L
Fri Oct 23Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah32% W · 41% D · 26.9% L
Sat Oct 24Neom SC vs Abha68.8% W · 23.5% D · 7.7% L
Sat Oct 24Al Kholood vs Al Ettifaq31.1% W · 26.9% D · 42% L

Competition rules

Champion + top sides reach the AFC Champions League Elite (approximate) · bottom 3 relegated

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Al HilalAl IttihadAl NassrAl QadsiahNeom SCAl Ahli

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Saudi Pro League dashboard →

More leagues

Chinese Super LeagueA-League MenJ1 LeagueThai League 1K League 1Indian Super LeagueA-League WomenAll 78 leagues