Aston Villa forecastfull forecast

Name: Aston Villa Premier League forecast
Creator: Entenser

Premier League · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Aston Villa are projected to finish 10.5 in Premier League with 50.6 points. The current model outlook is <1% title, 11.1% ucl, 7.4% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current

8 pts

7 matches

Expected finish

#10.5

of 20

Projected points

50.6

2026

Global ELO

1627

cross-league strength

Title

<1%

season probability

UCL

11.1%

season probability

Europa

7.4%

season probability

Conf

8.3%

season probability

Releg

5.5%

season probability

Global ELO puts Aston Villa on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24vs Manchester City23.7% W · 26.3% D · 50% L

Sat Oct 31vs Fulham44.8% W · 29.6% D · 25.6% L

Sat Nov 7at Manchester United26.5% W · 26.6% D · 46.9% L

Sat Nov 21vs Sunderland48.9% W · 27.8% D · 23.3% L

Sat Nov 28at Ipswich40.4% W · 25.3% D · 34.3% L

Recent results

WSat Oct 17at Newcastle United1–0

DSat Oct 10vs Brentford2–2

WSat Sep 19at Tottenham3–2

LSat Sep 12vs Nottingham Forest1–2

DSat Sep 5at Hull0–0

More clubs in Premier League

Manchester City Arsenal Brighton Chelsea Liverpool Brentford Leeds Manchester United Hull Everton Bournemouth Newcastle United Full Premier League forecast

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How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.