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Manchester United forecastfull forecast

Premier League · 2026 · updated 2026-09-12

Manchester United are projected to finish 7.4 in Premier League with 58.9 points. The current model outlook is 1.3% title, 37.3% ucl, 10.4% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Manchester United with Club Watch →

Current
4 pts
3 matches
Expected finish
#7.4
of 20
Projected points
58.9
2026
Global ELO
1555
cross-league strength
Title
1.3%
season probability
UCL
37.3%
season probability
Europa
10.4%
season probability
Conf
9.7%
season probability
Releg
<1%
season probability

Global ELO puts Manchester United on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Sep 13vs Manchester City29.6% W · 27.2% D · 43.2% L
Sun Sep 20at Fulham45.6% W · 27.3% D · 27% L
Sat Oct 10vs Tottenham60.5% W · 23.7% D · 15.8% L
Sun Oct 18at Leeds35.9% W · 29.4% D · 34.6% L
Sun Oct 25vs Bournemouth44.6% W · 26.7% D · 28.6% L

Recent results

DSun Sep 6at Everton2–2
WSun Aug 30vs Ipswich5–2
LSat Aug 22at Hull0–2

More clubs in Premier League

HullArsenalManchester CityLiverpoolBrightonChelseaBrentfordLeedsNewcastle UnitedBournemouthEvertonNottingham ForestFull Premier League forecast
Track Manchester United with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Manchester United dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.