Manchester United forecastfull forecast

Name: Manchester United Premier League forecast
Creator: Entenser

Premier League · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Manchester United are projected to finish 8.9 in Premier League with 53.8 points. The current model outlook is <1% title, 20.2% ucl, 10.5% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Manchester United with Club Watch →

Current

7 pts

7 matches

Expected finish

#8.9

of 20

Projected points

53.8

2026

Global ELO

1536

cross-league strength

Title

<1%

season probability

UCL

20.2%

season probability

Europa

10.5%

season probability

Conf

10.4%

season probability

Releg

2.2%

season probability

Global ELO puts Manchester United on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Oct 25vs Bournemouth47.9% W · 26.3% D · 25.8% L

Sat Oct 31at Chelsea32.5% W · 24.9% D · 42.6% L

Sat Nov 7vs Aston Villa46.9% W · 26.6% D · 26.5% L

Sat Nov 21at Liverpool31.7% W · 27.7% D · 40.5% L

Sat Nov 28vs Brentford42.3% W · 27.2% D · 30.5% L

Recent results

DSun Oct 18at Leeds1–1

DSat Oct 10vs Tottenham1–1

DSun Sep 20at Fulham1–1

LSun Sep 13vs Manchester City0–1

DSun Sep 6at Everton2–2

More clubs in Premier League

Manchester City Arsenal Brighton Chelsea Liverpool Brentford Leeds Aston Villa Hull Everton Bournemouth Newcastle United Full Premier League forecast

Track Manchester United with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Manchester United dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.