Chelsea forecastfull forecast

Name: Chelsea Premier League forecast
Creator: Entenser

Premier League · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Chelsea are projected to finish 9 in Premier League with 55.0 points. The current model outlook is <1% title, 22.1% ucl, 8.9% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current

6 pts

3 matches

Expected finish

of 20

Projected points

55.0

2026

Global ELO

1642

cross-league strength

Title

<1%

season probability

UCL

22.1%

season probability

Europa

8.9%

season probability

Conf

9.2%

season probability

Releg

1.4%

season probability

Global ELO puts Chelsea on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12vs Hull5.1% W · 39.7% D · 55.2% L

Fri Sep 18at Brentford29.2% W · 27.2% D · 43.6% L

Sat Oct 10vs Bournemouth38.1% W · 27.4% D · 34.5% L

Sat Oct 17at Everton32% W · 28.4% D · 39.5% L

Sat Oct 24vs Tottenham53.9% W · 26.1% D · 20% L

Recent results

LSun Sep 6at Arsenal1–2

WSun Aug 30vs Brighton4–3

WMon Aug 24at Fulham3–2

More clubs in Premier League

Hull Arsenal Manchester City Manchester United Liverpool Brighton Brentford Leeds Newcastle United Bournemouth Everton Nottingham Forest Full Premier League forecast

Track Chelsea with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Chelsea dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.