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Chelsea crest

Chelsea forecastpre-season

Premier League · 2026-27 · updated 2026-07-27

Chelsea are projected to finish 8.4 in Premier League with 56.4 points. The current model outlook is 1.9% title, 31.1% ucl, 8.6% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
0 pts
0 matches
Expected finish
#8.4
of 20
Projected points
56.4
2026-27
Global ELO
1547
shared strength scale
Title
1.9%
season probability
UCL
31.1%
season probability
Europa
8.6%
season probability
Conf
8.1%
season probability
Releg
3.2%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Mon Aug 24at Fulham · Craven Cottage30.1% W · 30.4% D · 39.5% L
Sun Aug 30vs Brighton · Stamford Bridge37.3% W · 29.4% D · 33.3% L
Sun Sep 6at Arsenal · Emirates Stadium10.1% W · 22% D · 67.8% L
Sat Sep 12vs Hull · Stamford Bridge61.7% W · 23% D · 15.3% L
Fri Sep 18at Brentford · Gtech Community Stadium26.6% W · 27% D · 46.4% L

More clubs in Premier League

Manchester CityArsenalManchester UnitedLiverpoolNottingham ForestBrightonBournemouthNewcastle UnitedBrentfordAston VillaTottenhamLeedsFull Premier League forecast
Open the interactive Chelsea dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.