Chelsea forecastfull forecast

Name: Chelsea Premier League forecast
Creator: Entenser

Premier League · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Chelsea are projected to finish 6 in Premier League with 61.1 points. The current model outlook is 1.3% title, 54.2% ucl, 12.1% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current

13 pts

7 matches

Expected finish

of 20

Projected points

61.1

2026

Global ELO

1652

cross-league strength

Title

1.3%

season probability

UCL

54.2%

season probability

Europa

12.1%

season probability

Conf

9.4%

season probability

Releg

<1%

season probability

Global ELO puts Chelsea on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24vs Tottenham57.3% W · 23.2% D · 19.5% L

Sat Oct 31vs Manchester United42.6% W · 24.9% D · 32.5% L

Sat Nov 7at Sunderland45.6% W · 26.2% D · 28.2% L

Sat Nov 21vs Leeds42.4% W · 27.3% D · 30.3% L

Sat Nov 28at Nottingham Forest39.3% W · 27.4% D · 33.3% L

Recent results

WSat Oct 17at Everton2–0

WSat Oct 10vs Bournemouth5–1

LFri Sep 18at Brentford0–3

DSat Sep 12vs Hull2–2

LSun Sep 6at Arsenal1–2

More clubs in Premier League

Manchester City Arsenal Brighton Liverpool Brentford Leeds Manchester United Aston Villa Hull Everton Bournemouth Newcastle United Full Premier League forecast

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Open the free interactive Chelsea dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.