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Manchester City forecastfull forecast

Premier League · 2026 · updated 2026-10-21

Manchester City are projected to finish 1.9 in Premier League with 78.9 points. The current model outlook is 46.8% title, 98.7% ucl, <1% europa. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Track Manchester City with Club Watch →

Current
21 pts
7 matches
Expected finish
#1.9
of 20
Projected points
78.9
2026
Global ELO
1748
cross-league strength
Title
46.8%
season probability
UCL
98.7%
season probability
Europa
<1%
season probability
Conf
<1%
season probability
Releg
0%
season probability

Global ELO puts Manchester City on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24at Aston Villa50% W · 26.3% D · 23.7% L
Sat Oct 31vs Brighton43.2% W · 27.2% D · 29.6% L
Sat Nov 7at Nottingham Forest51.5% W · 27.4% D · 21.1% L
Sat Nov 21vs Fulham63.7% W · 23.2% D · 13.2% L
Sat Nov 28at Arsenal28.4% W · 31% D · 40.6% L

Recent results

WSat Oct 17vs Ipswich3–2
WSun Oct 11at Liverpool3–0
WSun Sep 20vs Sunderland5–3
WSun Sep 13at Manchester United1–0
WSat Sep 5vs Coventry1–0

More clubs in Premier League

ArsenalBrightonChelseaLiverpoolBrentfordLeedsManchester UnitedAston VillaHullEvertonBournemouthNewcastle UnitedFull Premier League forecast
Track Manchester City with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Manchester City dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.