Entenser

Premier League 2026 forecastfull forecast

18% of the season played · updated 2026-10-21
Title
46.8%
Title
29.9%
Title
20.6%
Relegation
54.6%
Relegation
42.3%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjTitleUCLEuropaConfReleg
1Manchester City2178.946.8%98.7%<1%<1%0%
2Arsenal1876.329.9%97.5%1.4%<1%0%
3Brighton1673.420.6%94.4%2.7%1.4%0%
4Chelsea1361.11.3%54.2%12.1%9.4%<1%
5Liverpool1258.0<1%38.2%13.1%11.4%<1%
6Brentford1055.4<1%27.7%12.7%11.3%1.4%
7Leeds1055.0<1%25.4%12.4%11.4%1.4%
8Manchester United753.8<1%20.2%10.5%10.4%2.2%
9Aston Villa850.6<1%11.1%7.4%8.3%5.5%
10Hull949.90%9.8%6.5%8%4.9%
11Everton1048.60%7.3%5.7%6.8%6.9%
12Bournemouth647.40%5.6%4.4%5.7%11%
13Newcastle United844.00%2.4%2.3%2.9%20.5%
14Ipswich943.40%2.2%2.2%2.9%21.9%
15Nottingham Forest543.30%1.9%1.9%2.8%22.3%
16Fulham541.20%1%1.2%1.9%29.4%
17Crystal Palace740.60%1%1%1.7%35.9%
18Tottenham639.40%<1%<1%1%38.9%
19Sunderland439.20%<1%<1%1.2%42.3%
20Coventry636.80%<1%<1%<1%54.6%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Oct 23Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest37% W · 27.3% D · 35.7% L
Sat Oct 24Aston Villa vs Manchester City23.7% W · 26.3% D · 50% L
Sat Oct 24Coventry vs Fulham32.4% W · 30.8% D · 36.8% L
Sat Oct 24Arsenal vs Everton57.7% W · 27.9% D · 14.4% L
Sat Oct 24Chelsea vs Tottenham57.3% W · 23.2% D · 19.5% L
Sun Oct 25Hull vs Brentford34.7% W · 31.8% D · 33.5% L
Sun Oct 25Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United38.1% W · 26.2% D · 35.7% L
Sun Oct 25Liverpool vs Brighton29.1% W · 27.5% D · 43.4% L

Competition rules

Top 5 qualify for the Champions League (2025-26 coefficient allocation) · bottom 3 relegated

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Manchester CityArsenalBrightonChelseaLiverpoolBrentford

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

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