Entenser

Premier League 2026 forecastfull forecast

8% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
Title
43.2%
Title
30.5%
Title
21.8%
Relegation
>99%
Relegation
67.7%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjTitleUCLEuropaConfReleg
1Hull777.843.2%98.6%<1%<1%0%
2Arsenal974.630.5%93.4%2.9%1.5%0%
3Manchester City972.421.8%89.5%3.9%2.4%0%
4Manchester United458.91.3%37.4%10.5%9.7%<1%
5Liverpool556.7<1%28.7%9.8%10%1%
6Brighton454.8<1%22.9%9.5%8.7%1.5%
7Chelsea655.0<1%22.1%8.9%9.2%1.4%
8Brentford554.6<1%22.3%9.1%8.9%1.6%
9Leeds553.3<1%16.6%8.2%8.1%2%
10Newcastle United553.2<1%17.6%7.6%8.1%2.1%
11Bournemouth253.3<1%16.8%7.6%8%2.3%
12Everton551.7<1%13.1%7.2%7.4%2.8%
13Nottingham Forest249.30%7.6%4.4%5.5%5.5%
14Aston Villa148.40%6.9%3.9%4.8%7.9%
15Sunderland446.10%3.7%2.7%3.7%9.7%
16Crystal Palace342.50%1.7%1.5%1.8%20.7%
17Fulham039.90%<1%<1%1.1%29.9%
18Tottenham137.60%<1%<1%<1%43.4%
19Ipswich332.50%<1%<1%<1%67.7%
20Coventry014.00%0%0%0%>99%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Liverpool vs Fulham52.6% W · 26.5% D · 20.9% L
Sat Sep 12Crystal Palace vs Ipswich53.1% W · 24.8% D · 22.1% L
Sat Sep 12Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest36.8% W · 31.4% D · 31.8% L
Sat Sep 12Bournemouth vs Brentford40.3% W · 29.7% D · 30.1% L
Sat Sep 12Chelsea vs Hull5.1% W · 39.7% D · 55.2% L
Sat Sep 12Tottenham vs Everton27.6% W · 32.1% D · 40.3% L
Sat Sep 12Sunderland vs Arsenal16.6% W · 31.6% D · 51.8% L
Sun Sep 13Coventry vs Brighton2.8% W · 29.4% D · 67.8% L

Competition rules

Top 5 qualify for the Champions League (2025-26 coefficient allocation) · bottom 3 relegated

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

ArsenalManchester CityHullChelseaBrentfordLiverpool

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Premier League dashboard →

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