EFL League One 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Auto | Playoff | Promoted | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Argyle | 0 | 79.9 | 30.4% | 32.6% | 41.5% | 1.7% |
| 2 | Leicester | 0 | 77.6 | 24.5% | 32.4% | 35% | 1.9% |
| 3 | Stockport County | 0 | 76.1 | 21.7% | 30.7% | 31.3% | 2.6% |
| 4 | Luton Town | 0 | 75.9 | 21.3% | 31% | 31% | 2.7% |
| 5 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0 | 73.6 | 16.7% | 29.1% | 25.2% | 3.6% |
| 6 | Mansfield Town | 0 | 73.0 | 15.7% | 28.1% | 24.2% | 3.8% |
| 7 | Huddersfield Town | 0 | 70.2 | 12.4% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 5.9% |
| 8 | Reading | 0 | 68.8 | 10.2% | 23.1% | 15.9% | 6.6% |
| 9 | Bradford City | 0 | 67.2 | 7.9% | 21.6% | 13.1% | 7.9% |
| 10 | Blackpool | 0 | 63.4 | 5% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% |
| 11 | Stevenage | 0 | 62.7 | 4.1% | 15% | 7.3% | 13% |
| 12 | Peterborough United | 0 | 61.7 | 4.5% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 15.5% |
| 13 | Barnsley | 0 | 60.3 | 3.7% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 17.7% |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 60.1 | 3.4% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 17.6% |
| 15 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 59.9 | 3.4% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 17.9% |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 0 | 59.6 | 3.1% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 18.1% |
| 17 | Bromley | 0 | 58.6 | 2.6% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 20.3% |
| 18 | Wigan Athletic | 0 | 58.1 | 2.4% | 9.6% | 4% | 20.4% |
| 19 | Cambridge | 0 | 56.5 | 2% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 24.6% |
| 20 | Doncaster Rovers | 0 | 55.6 | 1.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 26.6% |
| 21 | Oxford | 0 | 51.9 | 1.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 35.9% |
| 22 | Notts County | 0 | 51.6 | <1% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 36.6% |
| 23 | Sheffield Weds | 0 | 51.5 | <1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 36.4% |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 46.6 | <1% | 2.4% | <1% | 50.4% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 2 promoted automatically · 3–6 promotion playoff, winner also promoted · bottom 4 relegated
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive EFL League One dashboard →