EFL League Two 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Auto | Playoff | Promoted | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rochdale | 0 | 92.0 | 67.4% | 22.1% | 77.2% | 0% |
| 2 | Grimsby Town | 0 | 79.8 | 32.8% | 32.2% | 43% | <1% |
| 3 | Barnet | 0 | 78.2 | 29.3% | 31.1% | 38.9% | <1% |
| 4 | Oldham Athletic | 0 | 76.5 | 25% | 31% | 34.1% | <1% |
| 5 | Exeter | 0 | 75.4 | 22.5% | 29.7% | 30.6% | <1% |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 0 | 75.1 | 22.3% | 29.4% | 30.4% | <1% |
| 7 | Port Vale | 0 | 72.5 | 17.1% | 27.4% | 24.3% | <1% |
| 8 | Salford City | 0 | 71.9 | 15.9% | 27.3% | 22.8% | <1% |
| 9 | Colchester United | 0 | 71.3 | 15% | 26.7% | 21.7% | <1% |
| 10 | Rotherham | 0 | 68.2 | 10.9% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 1.6% |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 67.5 | 10.1% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 1.9% |
| 12 | Swindon Town | 0 | 67.1 | 10% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 2.1% |
| 13 | Crewe Alexandra | 0 | 64.5 | 6.9% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 0 | 60.9 | 4.3% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| 15 | Walsall | 0 | 59.0 | 3.3% | 10.9% | 5% | 5.8% |
| 16 | Northampton | 0 | 55.3 | 2.1% | 7.7% | 3% | 10.2% |
| 17 | Accrington Stanley | 0 | 52.5 | 1.3% | 5.4% | 2% | 12.8% |
| 18 | Cheltenham Town | 0 | 51.3 | 1% | 5% | 1.4% | 15.3% |
| 19 | Crawley Town | 0 | 49.7 | <1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 17.3% |
| 20 | Newport County | 0 | 48.6 | <1% | 3.7% | <1% | 20.7% |
| 21 | Shrewsbury Town | 0 | 47.5 | <1% | 2.7% | <1% | 22% |
| 22 | York City | 0 | 46.3 | <1% | 2.4% | <1% | 25.2% |
| 23 | Gillingham | 0 | 46.1 | <1% | 2.3% | <1% | 25.2% |
| 24 | Tranmere Rovers | 0 | 45.1 | <1% | 2.2% | <1% | 27.9% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 3 promoted automatically · 4–7 promotion playoff, winner also promoted · bottom 2 relegated
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive EFL League Two dashboard →