Austrian Bundesliga 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK Linz | 0 | 43.4 | 43.5% | 90.8% | <1% |
| 2 | SK Sturm Graz | 0 | 41.3 | 29.8% | 84.9% | <1% |
| 3 | RB Salzburg | 0 | 37.5 | 14.3% | 68.4% | 1% |
| 4 | Grazer AK | 0 | 32.7 | 4.7% | 41.3% | 4.4% |
| 5 | TSV Hartberg | 0 | 31.3 | 3.2% | 33.4% | 5.9% |
| 6 | Wolfsberger | 0 | 30.6 | 2.4% | 29.9% | 7% |
| 7 | SV Josko Ried | 0 | 27.2 | <1% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| 8 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 0 | 27.0 | <1% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| 9 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 0 | 22.8 | <1% | 5.4% | 36.3% |
| 10 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 22.6 | <1% | 4.9% | 37.4% |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 22.5 | <1% | 5.1% | 37.8% |
| 12 | Austria Lustenau | 0 | 22.4 | <1% | 4.9% | 38.1% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion → Champions League qualifying; top sides → European competitions (approximate) · bottom relegated (the real points-halving championship/relegation split is not modeled — plain regular-season table)
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Austrian Bundesliga dashboard →