Entenser

Austrian Bundesliga 2026 forecastfull forecast

23% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
58.4%
Champ
31.7%
Champ
5.7%
Relegation
>99%
Relegation
>99%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1LASK Linz1542.158.4%97.4%0%
2RB Salzburg1339.331.7%92.9%0%
3SK Sturm Graz832.65.7%63.9%0%
4WSG Swarovski Tirol728.21.2%31.5%0%
5TSV Hartberg628.31.2%30.4%0%
6Wolfsberger527.4<1%26.6%0%
7SV Josko Ried424.9<1%13.3%0%
8Grazer AK424.5<1%11.2%0%
9SC Rheindorf Altach324.2<1%10.8%0%
10Austria Lustenau022.3<1%6.9%0%
11Rapid Vienna1212.00%0%0%
12A. Lustenau55.00%0%>99%
13Austria Vienna33.00%0%>99%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Sep 11SV Josko Ried vs RB Salzburg27% W · 30.4% D · 42.6% L
Sat Sep 12Wolfsberger vs Rapid Vienna35.2% W · 32.7% D · 32.1% L
Sat Sep 12SC Rheindorf Altach vs Grazer AK37.2% W · 32.2% D · 30.6% L
Sun Sep 13Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau35.8% W · 32.5% D · 31.6% L
Sun Sep 13WSG Swarovski Tirol vs TSV Hartberg33.8% W · 31.8% D · 34.4% L
Sun Sep 13SK Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz32.3% W · 31.5% D · 36.1% L
Fri Sep 18Rapid Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol39.6% W · 31.3% D · 29.1% L
Sat Sep 19Austria Lustenau vs SC Rheindorf Altach38.5% W · 32.5% D · 29% L

Competition rules

Champion → Champions League qualifying; top sides → European competitions (approximate) · bottom relegated (the real points-halving championship/relegation split is not modeled — plain regular-season table)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

LASK LinzRB SalzburgRapid ViennaSK Sturm GrazWSG Swarovski TirolTSV Hartberg

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Austrian Bundesliga dashboard →

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