Scottish Championship 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Auto | Playoff | Promoted | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness C | 0 | 79.5 | 55.9% | 43.7% | 84.3% | 0% |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | 75.2 | 34.2% | 64.7% | 72.6% | 0% |
| 3 | Livingston | 0 | 65.5 | 9.2% | 82.9% | 35.2% | 0% |
| 4 | Arbroath | 0 | 50.2 | <1% | 49.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 0 | 36.9 | 0% | 9.8% | <1% | 15.9% |
| 6 | Ayr United | 0 | 36.8 | 0% | 10.1% | <1% | 16.4% |
| 7 | Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 36.8 | 0% | 10.2% | <1% | 16.6% |
| 8 | Greenock Morton | 0 | 36.8 | 0% | 9.6% | <1% | 16.2% |
| 9 | Partick Thistle | 0 | 36.7 | 0% | 9.5% | <1% | 16.2% |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 0 | 36.6 | 0% | 9.6% | <1% | 16.9% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion promoted to the Premiership · 2nd–4th enter a promotion playoff (the Premiership's 11th also joins — not modeled) · bottom club relegated, 9th plays a playoff
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Scottish Championship dashboard →