Scottish Premiership 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Title | UCL | Europa | Conf | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 0 | 64.2 | 33.7% | 33.7% | 22.7% | 16.4% | <1% |
| 2 | Rangers | 0 | 61.0 | 23.3% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 17% | <1% |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian | 0 | 58.5 | 16.3% | 16.3% | 18% | 17.6% | <1% |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 0 | 56.0 | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 1% |
| 5 | Motherwell | 0 | 53.4 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 1.5% |
| 6 | Hibernian | 0 | 52.0 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 2% |
| 7 | Falkirk | 0 | 37.5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2.1% | 21.4% |
| 8 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 36.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1.8% | 23.5% |
| 9 | Dundee United | 0 | 34.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 30.8% |
| 10 | Dundee | 0 | 34.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 31.7% |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 0 | 33.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 33.5% |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | 28.4 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 53.8% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion qualifies for the Champions League · table splits top/bottom 6 after 33 rounds · bottom club relegated, 11th plays a barrage
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Scottish Premiership dashboard →