Entenser

Russian Premier League 2026 forecastfull forecast

8% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
22.9%
Relegation
96.7%
Relegation
59.8%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1Zenit St Petersburg658.872.5%98.5%0%
2Krasnodar653.122.9%88.9%0%
3Spartak Moscow644.83%49.4%0%
4Dinamo Moscow139.2<1%15.9%<1%
5CSKA Moscow438.8<1%15.7%<1%
6FC Baltika Kaliningrad338.1<1%11.3%<1%
7Rubin Kazan334.6<1%4.6%1.1%
8Lokomotiv Moscow134.4<1%4.8%1.4%
9Dynamo Makhachkala633.7<1%4.3%1.5%
10Rostov331.60%2%2.9%
11Krylia Sovetov231.70%2.1%2.9%
12Akhmat Grozny131.20%1.8%3.7%
13Gazovik Orenburg327.80%<1%9.3%
14Fakel Voronezh024.80%<1%19.9%
15Akron Tolyatti019.50%0%59.8%
16Rodina Moscow010.20%0%96.7%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Sep 11Krylia Sovetov vs Rodina Moscow79.8% W · 12.3% D · 7.9% L
Sat Sep 12CSKA Moscow vs Rubin Kazan43.7% W · 31.5% D · 24.8% L
Sat Sep 12Dinamo Moscow vs Gazovik Orenburg64.3% W · 21.7% D · 14.1% L
Sat Sep 12Zenit St Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow76.5% W · 17.1% D · 6.5% L
Sat Sep 12Fakel Voronezh vs FC Baltika Kaliningrad24.9% W · 28.2% D · 46.9% L
Sun Sep 13Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Makhachkala41% W · 32.9% D · 26.1% L
Sun Sep 13Spartak Moscow vs Rostov54.3% W · 27.2% D · 18.5% L
Sun Sep 13Krasnodar vs Akron Tolyatti88% W · 8.2% D · 3.8% L

Competition rules

Top 3 would qualify for UEFA competitions, but Russian clubs are currently suspended from European football (shown for domestic context) · bottom 2 relegated, 13th–14th play relegation playoffs (not modeled)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Zenit St PetersburgSpartak MoscowKrasnodarDynamo MakhachkalaCSKA MoscowRostov

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Russian Premier League dashboard →

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