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Russian Premier League 2026 forecastlive

3% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
32.7%
Relegation
>99%
Relegation
75.3%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1Zenit St Petersburg368.662.7%97.5%0%
2Krasnodar365.232.7%92.2%0%
3Spartak Moscow350.71.6%30.5%0%
4Dinamo Moscow150.51.4%26.1%0%
5CSKA Moscow349.31%22.3%0%
6Lokomotiv Moscow145.8<1%11%<1%
7FC Baltika Kaliningrad044.9<1%8.2%<1%
8Akhmat Grozny140.9<1%3.4%<1%
9Rubin Kazan041.2<1%3.4%<1%
10Krylia Sovetov138.80%2%1.2%
11Gazovik Orenburg337.50%1.4%1.5%
12Dynamo Makhachkala336.50%1.2%1.6%
13Rostov036.50%<1%2.1%
14Akron Tolyatti028.50%0%16.5%
15Fakel Voronezh019.60%0%75.3%
16Rodina Moscow06.00%0%>99%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Fri Jul 31Rodina Moscow vs Rostov1.5% W · 29.9% D · 68.6% L
Sat Aug 1Akron Tolyatti vs Rubin Kazan26.6% W · 28.3% D · 45.2% L
Sat Aug 1CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov55.7% W · 25.4% D · 18.9% L
Sat Aug 1Dynamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow29.3% W · 30.4% D · 40.3% L
Sat Aug 1FC Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow37.5% W · 30.2% D · 32.3% L
Sun Aug 2Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moscow32.7% W · 28.7% D · 38.5% L
Sun Aug 2Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh91.9% W · 6.4% D · 1.6% L
Sun Aug 2Gazovik Orenburg vs Zenit St Petersburg9.4% W · 23.4% D · 67.2% L

Competition rules

Top 3 would qualify for UEFA competitions, but Russian clubs are currently suspended from European football (shown for domestic context) · bottom 2 relegated, 13th–14th play relegation playoffs (not modeled)

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Russian Premier League dashboard →

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