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New Mexico United forecastlive

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-07-28

New Mexico United are projected to finish 7.3 in USL Championship with 47.1 points. The current model outlook is 4.2% shield, 94% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
24 pts
14 matches
Expected finish
#7.3
of 25
Projected points
47.1
2026
Global ELO
1311
shared strength scale
Shield
4.2%
season probability
Playoffs
94%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC · Isotopes Park42.8% W · 28.6% D · 28.7% L
Sat Aug 8at Monterey Bay · Cardinale Stadium44.9% W · 29.5% D · 25.6% L
Sat Aug 15vs FC Tulsa · Isotopes Park38.5% W · 31.6% D · 29.9% L
Sat Aug 22at Loudoun United FC · Segra Field46% W · 28% D · 26% L
Wed Aug 26vs Lexington · Isotopes Park41.8% W · 29.1% D · 29% L

Recent results

WWed Jul 15at Lexington4–1
WSat Jul 4vs Oakland Roots2–1
WSat Jun 20at Sacramento Republic FC1–0
DSat Jun 13vs Orange County SC1–1
DSat May 30at Hartford Athletic0–0

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay RowdiesOrange County SCCharleston BatteryDetroit City FCSacramento Republic FCRhode Island FCSan Antonio FCColorado Springs Switchbacks FCFC TulsaLouisville City FCLexingtonPittsburgh RiverhoundsFull USL Championship forecast
Open the interactive New Mexico United dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.