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Las Vegas Lights FC forecastfull forecast

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Las Vegas Lights FC are projected to finish 17 in USL Championship with 37.5 points. The current model outlook is 0% shield, 19.7% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
29 pts
23 matches
Expected finish
#17
of 25
Projected points
37.5
2026
Global ELO
1187
cross-league strength
Shield
0%
season probability
Playoffs
19.7%
season probability

Global ELO puts Las Vegas Lights FC on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Orange County SC · Championship Soccer Stadium27.3% W · 27.2% D · 45.5% L
Sat Sep 19vs Hartford Athletic · Cashman Field32.6% W · 31.9% D · 35.5% L
Wed Sep 30at Sacramento Republic FC · Heart Health Park22.1% W · 29.6% D · 48.3% L
Sat Oct 3vs San Antonio FC · Cashman Field34.6% W · 31.2% D · 34.2% L
Sat Oct 10at Phoenix Rising FC · Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington26.9% W · 28.2% D · 44.9% L

Recent results

LSat Sep 5vs New Mexico United1–2
LSat Aug 29vs Charleston Battery0–2
LSat Aug 22at Lexington0–2
WSat Aug 15vs Brooklyn FC2–1
WSat Aug 8at Miami FC1–0

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay RowdiesNew Mexico UnitedCharleston BatteryEl Paso Locomotive FCDetroit City FCFC TulsaOrange County SCSacramento Republic FCSan Antonio FCPittsburgh RiverhoundsColorado Springs Switchbacks FCRhode Island FCFull USL Championship forecast
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How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.