Lexington forecastlive

Name: Lexington USL Championship forecast
Creator: Entenser

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-07-28

Lexington are projected to finish 11.3 in USL Championship with 42.6 points. The current model outlook is <1% shield, 77% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current

22 pts

16 matches

Expected finish

#11.3

of 25

Projected points

42.6

2026

Global ELO

1242

shared strength scale

Shield

<1%

season probability

Playoffs

77%

season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1vs Monterey Bay · Lexington Stadium50.5% W · 27.4% D · 22.1% L

Sat Aug 8vs Phoenix Rising FC · Lexington Stadium43.3% W · 27.9% D · 28.8% L

Sat Aug 15at Sacramento Republic FC · Heart Health Park28.2% W · 30.4% D · 41.4% L

Sat Aug 22vs Las Vegas Lights FC · Lexington Stadium44.3% W · 27.6% D · 28.1% L

Wed Aug 26at New Mexico United · Isotopes Park29% W · 29.1% D · 41.8% L

Recent results

DSat Jul 25at FC Tulsa0–0

WWed Jul 22vs Oakland Roots2–0

LWed Jul 15vs New Mexico United1–4

WSat Jul 4at Tampa Bay Rowdies4–1

WSat Jun 13vs San Antonio FC2–0

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies Orange County SC Charleston Battery Detroit City FC New Mexico United Sacramento Republic FC Rhode Island FC San Antonio FC Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC FC Tulsa Louisville City FC Pittsburgh Riverhounds Full USL Championship forecast

Open the interactive Lexington dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.