Lexington forecastfull forecast

Name: Lexington USL Championship forecast
Creator: Entenser

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Lexington are projected to finish 13.9 in USL Championship with 40.6 points. The current model outlook is 0% shield, 61.5% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current

31 pts

23 matches

Expected finish

#13.9

of 25

Projected points

40.6

2026

Global ELO

1220

cross-league strength

Shield

season probability

Playoffs

61.5%

season probability

Global ELO puts Lexington on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Oakland Roots · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum35.1% W · 29.7% D · 35.2% L

Sat Sep 19vs Orange County SC · Lexington Stadium40.6% W · 27.6% D · 31.9% L

Sat Sep 26at Monterey Bay · Cardinale Stadium40.5% W · 28.7% D · 30.9% L

Sat Oct 3vs El Paso Locomotive FC · Lexington Stadium36.6% W · 28.9% D · 34.5% L

Fri Oct 9vs FC Tulsa · Lexington Stadium30.6% W · 31.7% D · 37.7% L

Recent results

LSat Sep 5at Sporting JAX2–3

LSat Aug 29vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC0–1

LWed Aug 26at New Mexico United1–2

WSat Aug 22vs Las Vegas Lights FC2–0

LSat Aug 15at Sacramento Republic FC0–1

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies New Mexico United Charleston Battery El Paso Locomotive FC Detroit City FC FC Tulsa Orange County SC Sacramento Republic FC San Antonio FC Pittsburgh Riverhounds Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC Rhode Island FC Full USL Championship forecast

Track Lexington with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Lexington dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.