USL Championship 2026 forecastfull forecast
75% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Shield | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 48 | 60.1 | 88.2% | >99% |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 40 | 53.8 | 8.6% | >99% |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 39 | 51.3 | 1.7% | >99% |
| 4 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 40 | 49.6 | <1% | 99.9% |
| 5 | Detroit City FC | 37 | 48.5 | <1% | >99% |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 36 | 48.2 | <1% | 99.1% |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 36 | 46.0 | 0% | 96% |
| 8 | Sacramento Republic FC | 33 | 45.0 | 0% | 94.4% |
| 9 | San Antonio FC | 36 | 44.8 | 0% | 93.7% |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 35 | 43.3 | 0% | 99.7% |
| 11 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC | 34 | 43.3 | 0% | 86.6% |
| 12 | Rhode Island FC | 29 | 42.8 | 0% | 98.2% |
| 13 | Louisville City FC | 33 | 43.2 | 0% | 99.4% |
| 14 | Hartford Athletic | 31 | 42.7 | 0% | 98.9% |
| 15 | Lexington | 31 | 40.6 | 0% | 61.5% |
| 16 | Indy Eleven | 29 | 40.2 | 0% | 94% |
| 17 | Phoenix Rising FC | 30 | 39.4 | 0% | 40.7% |
| 18 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 29 | 37.5 | 0% | 19.7% |
| 19 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 35.4 | 0% | 8.4% |
| 20 | Miami FC | 23 | 31.0 | 0% | 4.5% |
| 21 | Loudoun United FC | 20 | 29.9 | 0% | 3% |
| 22 | Birmingham Legion FC | 18 | 28.9 | 0% | 1.7% |
| 23 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 26.2 | 0% | <1% |
| 24 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 24.3 | 0% | 0% |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 21.1 | 0% | 0% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 8 per conference make the playoffs · no relegation
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive USL Championship dashboard →