Tampa Bay Rowdies forecastfull forecast

Name: Tampa Bay Rowdies USL Championship forecast
Creator: Entenser

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Tampa Bay Rowdies are projected to finish 1.1 in USL Championship with 60.1 points. The current model outlook is 88.2% shield, >99% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current

48 pts

23 matches

Expected finish

#1.1

of 25

Projected points

60.1

2026

Global ELO

1349

cross-league strength

Shield

88.2%

season probability

Playoffs

>99%

season probability

Global ELO puts Tampa Bay Rowdies on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12at Hartford Athletic · Trinity Health Stadium36.4% W · 31% D · 32.5% L

Sat Sep 19vs Birmingham Legion FC · Al Lang Stadium55.4% W · 24.6% D · 20% L

Sat Sep 26at San Antonio FC · Toyota Field38.7% W · 30.3% D · 31.1% L

Sat Oct 3vs Miami FC · Al Lang Stadium59.2% W · 23.1% D · 17.7% L

Sat Oct 10at Indy Eleven · Michael A. Carroll Stadium42.4% W · 28.9% D · 28.7% L

Recent results

WSat Sep 5vs Brooklyn FC2–0

DSat Aug 29at Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0

LSat Aug 22at Detroit City FC0–1

WSat Aug 15vs Rhode Island FC2–0

WSat Aug 8at Orange County SC3–0

More clubs in USL Championship

New Mexico United Charleston Battery El Paso Locomotive FC Detroit City FC FC Tulsa Orange County SC Sacramento Republic FC San Antonio FC Pittsburgh Riverhounds Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC Rhode Island FC Louisville City FC Full USL Championship forecast

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Open the free interactive Tampa Bay Rowdies dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.