Orange County SC forecastlive

Name: Orange County SC USL Championship forecast
Creator: Entenser

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-07-28

Orange County SC are projected to finish 3.9 in USL Championship with 51.3 points. The current model outlook is 18.6% shield, 99.4% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current

31 pts

17 matches

Expected finish

#3.9

of 25

Projected points

51.3

2026

Global ELO

1327

shared strength scale

Shield

18.6%

season probability

Playoffs

99.4%

season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1vs El Paso Locomotive FC · Championship Soccer Stadium47.6% W · 26.4% D · 26% L

Sat Aug 8vs Tampa Bay Rowdies · Championship Soccer Stadium40.9% W · 28.2% D · 31% L

Sat Aug 15vs Louisville City FC · Championship Soccer Stadium45.1% W · 26.7% D · 28.2% L

Sat Aug 22vs FC Tulsa · Championship Soccer Stadium39.3% W · 30.2% D · 30.5% L

Sat Aug 29at Oakland Roots · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum41.2% W · 27% D · 31.7% L

Recent results

WSat Jul 25at Monterey Bay2–1

DWed Jul 8at Hartford Athletic2–2

DSat Jul 4at Rhode Island FC1–1

WWed Jun 24at Miami FC4–2

WSat Jun 20at Las Vegas Lights FC3–2

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies Charleston Battery Detroit City FC New Mexico United Sacramento Republic FC Rhode Island FC San Antonio FC Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC FC Tulsa Louisville City FC Lexington Pittsburgh Riverhounds Full USL Championship forecast

Open the interactive Orange County SC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.