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Sacramento Republic FC forecastlive

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-07-28

Sacramento Republic FC are projected to finish 8.2 in USL Championship with 46.0 points. The current model outlook is 2.8% shield, 91.6% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
23 pts
15 matches
Expected finish
#8.2
of 25
Projected points
46.0
2026
Global ELO
1295
shared strength scale
Shield
2.8%
season probability
Playoffs
91.6%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1vs Sporting JAX · Heart Health Park63.1% W · 21.3% D · 15.6% L
Wed Aug 5at FC Tulsa · ONEOK Field31.9% W · 33.3% D · 34.8% L
Sat Aug 8at Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Highmark Stadium35.8% W · 34.2% D · 30% L
Sat Aug 15vs Lexington · Heart Health Park41.4% W · 30.4% D · 28.2% L
Sat Aug 22vs Phoenix Rising FC · Heart Health Park45.2% W · 29.3% D · 25.5% L

Recent results

WSat Jul 25at Oakland Roots3–1
DSat Jul 18at Charleston Battery1–1
WWed Jul 8vs Rhode Island FC2–1
LSat Jun 20vs New Mexico United0–1

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay RowdiesOrange County SCCharleston BatteryDetroit City FCNew Mexico UnitedRhode Island FCSan Antonio FCColorado Springs Switchbacks FCFC TulsaLouisville City FCLexingtonPittsburgh RiverhoundsFull USL Championship forecast
Open the interactive Sacramento Republic FC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.