Greek Super League 2026-27 forecastpre-season
Pre-season projection — schedule out, no matches played yet; probabilities are statistical priors · updated 2026-07-27
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Title | UCL | Europa | Conf | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens | 0 | 58.3 | 45.3% | 45.3% | 27.5% | 16.1% | 0% |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 0 | 54.9 | 24.4% | 24.4% | 28.3% | 24.1% | 0% |
| 3 | PAOK Salonika | 0 | 54.5 | 22.8% | 22.8% | 27.1% | 24.9% | 0% |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 0 | 47.5 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 0% |
| 5 | Aris | 0 | 39.1 | <1% | <1% | 2.1% | 5.5% | <1% |
| 6 | Levadiakos | 0 | 38.2 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4.8% | 1% |
| 7 | Atromitos | 0 | 37.0 | <1% | <1% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 0 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 1.1% | 5.1% |
| 9 | Asteras Tripoli | 0 | 28.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 10.8% |
| 10 | Kifisia | 0 | 26.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | 13.3% |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 0 | 25.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 17.5% |
| 12 | Volos NFC | 0 | 23.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | <1% | 24.1% |
| 13 | Iraklis | 0 | 16.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63.1% |
| 14 | Kalamata | 0 | 16.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63.3% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
After 26 rounds the table splits into a championship play-off (1st-4th), a European play-off (5th-8th) and a play-out (9th-14th); points carry in full and a club cannot finish above its pool · champion qualifies for the Champions League · bottom 2 relegated
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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