Eliteserien 2026 forecastfull forecast
63% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11 · also known as Eliteserien
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 47 | 64.3 | 76% | 99.9% | 0% |
| 2 | Viking FK | 44 | 60.3 | 23.6% | 99.1% | 0% |
| 3 | Tromso | 35 | 50.1 | <1% | 56.4% | 0% |
| 4 | Molde | 33 | 48.0 | <1% | 28.8% | 0% |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 29 | 43.7 | 0% | 6.5% | 0% |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 27 | 42.9 | 0% | 4.5% | <1% |
| 7 | SK Brann | 26 | 41.2 | 0% | 2.3% | <1% |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 26 | 40.5 | 0% | 1.6% | <1% |
| 9 | Sarpsborg FK | 24 | 38.8 | 0% | <1% | 1.8% |
| 10 | Hamarkameratene | 23 | 37.0 | 0% | <1% | 4.5% |
| 11 | Vålerenga | 22 | 36.1 | 0% | <1% | 6.7% |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 20 | 34.5 | 0% | 0% | 13.3% |
| 13 | Kristiansund BK | 19 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 23.8% |
| 14 | KFUM Oslo | 19 | 32.6 | 0% | 0% | 28.9% |
| 15 | Aalesund | 18 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | 37% |
| 16 | IK Start | 13 | 26.7 | 0% | 0% | 82.8% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion + next 2 reach UEFA competitions (approximate) · bottom 2 relegated (a playoff spot is not modeled)
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
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