Eliteserien 2026 forecastlive
48% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28 · also known as Eliteserien
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 35 | 58.5 | 49.6% | 94.6% | 0% |
| 2 | Viking FK | 34 | 58.0 | 40.5% | 92.9% | 0% |
| 3 | Tromso | 31 | 51.9 | 7.4% | 62.9% | 0% |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 25 | 47.3 | 1.4% | 23.2% | 0% |
| 5 | Molde | 23 | 45.3 | <1% | 12.8% | <1% |
| 6 | Sarpsborg FK | 21 | 42.4 | <1% | 5.2% | <1% |
| 7 | Vålerenga | 20 | 41.0 | <1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 18 | 39.9 | 0% | 2% | 2.4% |
| 9 | SK Brann | 19 | 39.7 | 0% | 1.6% | 2.3% |
| 10 | Hamarkameratene | 18 | 38.8 | 0% | 1.1% | 3.9% |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 15 | 36.1 | 0% | <1% | 10.4% |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 14 | 34.2 | 0% | <1% | 21.4% |
| 13 | Aalesund | 13 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 26.3% |
| 14 | KFUM Oslo | 12 | 32.3 | 0% | <1% | 31% |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 12 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 38.3% |
| 16 | IK Start | 10 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 61.4% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion + next 2 reach UEFA competitions (approximate) · bottom 2 relegated (a playoff spot is not modeled)
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Eliteserien dashboard →