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Phoenix Rising FC forecastlive

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-07-28

Phoenix Rising FC are projected to finish 15.9 in USL Championship with 38.0 points. The current model outlook is 0% shield, 38.1% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

Current
21 pts
17 matches
Expected finish
#15.9
of 25
Projected points
38.0
2026
Global ELO
1242
shared strength scale
Shield
0%
season probability
Playoffs
38.1%
season probability

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1at Las Vegas Lights FC · Cashman Field33% W · 28% D · 39% L
Sat Aug 8at Lexington · Lexington Stadium28.8% W · 27.9% D · 43.3% L
Wed Aug 19vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC · Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington36.7% W · 28.1% D · 35.2% L
Sat Aug 22at Sacramento Republic FC · Heart Health Park25.5% W · 29.3% D · 45.2% L
Sat Aug 29vs Indy Eleven · Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington41.8% W · 29% D · 29.2% L

Recent results

DSat Jul 25vs Hartford Athletic0–0
WSat Jul 18vs Monterey Bay3–2
LSat Jun 20vs Oakland Roots3–4
DSat Jun 13at El Paso Locomotive FC1–1

More clubs in USL Championship

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Open the interactive Phoenix Rising FC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.