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Phoenix Rising FC forecastfull forecast

USL Championship · 2026 · updated 2026-09-11

Phoenix Rising FC are projected to finish 15.3 in USL Championship with 39.4 points. The current model outlook is 0% shield, 40.7% playoffs. Forecasts update with new results and are graded in public.

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Current
30 pts
23 matches
Expected finish
#15.3
of 25
Projected points
39.4
2026
Global ELO
1255
cross-league strength
Shield
0%
season probability
Playoffs
40.7%
season probability

Global ELO puts Phoenix Rising FC on the same strength scale as every other club we forecast — how the scale works.

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12vs FC Tulsa · Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington31% W · 31% D · 38% L
Sat Sep 19vs El Paso Locomotive FC · Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington37.2% W · 28.3% D · 34.6% L
Sat Sep 26at Oakland Roots · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum35.7% W · 29% D · 35.3% L
Sun Oct 4at New Mexico United · Isotopes Park26.4% W · 27.7% D · 45.9% L
Sat Oct 10vs Las Vegas Lights FC · Phoenix Rising Stadium at 38th St/Washington44.9% W · 28.2% D · 26.9% L

Recent results

DSat Sep 5at Monterey Bay1–1
WSat Aug 29vs Indy Eleven2–1
DSat Aug 22at Sacramento Republic FC2–2
LSat Aug 8at Lexington0–1

More clubs in USL Championship

Tampa Bay RowdiesNew Mexico UnitedCharleston BatteryEl Paso Locomotive FCDetroit City FCFC TulsaOrange County SCSacramento Republic FCSan Antonio FCPittsburgh RiverhoundsColorado Springs Switchbacks FCRhode Island FCFull USL Championship forecast
Track Phoenix Rising FC with Club Watch →

Open the free interactive Phoenix Rising FC dashboard →

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.