Primera Nacional 2026 forecastfull forecast
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Promoted | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Morón | 55 | 67.1 | 49.4% | 76.7% | 0% |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 55 | 66.4 | 30.2% | 60.3% | 0% |
| 3 | Tristán Suárez | 49 | 63.8 | 12.7% | 33.5% | 0% |
| 4 | Temperley | 50 | 62.1 | 3.9% | 13.9% | 0% |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 52 | 61.2 | 2.2% | 8.3% | 0% |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 49 | 59.5 | <1% | 3.9% | 0% |
| 7 | Deportivo Madryn | 46 | 58.8 | <1% | 2.5% | 0% |
| 8 | Atlanta | 48 | 56.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| 9 | Almirante Brown | 46 | 56.1 | 0% | <1% | 0% |
| 10 | Colón (Santa Fe) | 45 | 55.5 | 0% | <1% | 0% |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) | 45 | 55.0 | 0% | <1% | 0% |
| 12 | Midland | 44 | 53.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | San Martín (San Juan) | 41 | 53.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | Deportivo Maipú | 40 | 50.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | Colegiales | 40 | 49.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 16 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | 39 | 48.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 17 | San Martín (Tucumán) | 39 | 48.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 18 | Atletico Rafaela | 39 | 47.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 19 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 39 | 47.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 20 | Los Andes | 37 | 45.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 21 | Quilmes | 35 | 44.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
| 22 | Almagro | 35 | 43.3 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
| 23 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 42.9 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 24 | Racing (Córdoba) | 35 | 42.4 | 0% | 0% | 1.3% |
| 25 | Defensores de Belgrano | 33 | 41.9 | 0% | 0% | 2.4% |
| 26 | Agropecuario | 33 | 41.9 | 0% | 0% | 3.5% |
| 27 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 40.0 | 0% | 0% | 8.9% |
| 28 | Mitre (Santiago del Estero) | 32 | 40.0 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 29 | Central Norte | 31 | 39.9 | 0% | 0% | 11.1% |
| 30 | Patronato | 30 | 39.1 | 0% | 0% | 15.8% |
| 31 | San Telmo | 31 | 39.2 | 0% | 0% | 19.5% |
| 32 | San Miguel | 30 | 38.5 | 0% | 0% | 27.4% |
| 33 | All Boys | 31 | 38.4 | 0% | 0% | 25.4% |
| 34 | Chacarita Juniors | 27 | 34.8 | 0% | 0% | 76.4% |
| 35 | Güemes | 23 | 30.5 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
| 36 | Acassuso | 23 | 30.2 | 0% | 0% | 98.1% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
WARNING — the real format splits 36 clubs into two zones of 18 that play almost exclusively within their own zone; this page combines them into ONE table, so ranks compare teams that did not play the same schedule · in reality the two zone winners meet for the first promotion spot and 2nd-8th in each zone enter the Torneo Reducido for the second (neither is modeled) · the bottom 2 of each zone are relegated (shown here as the bottom 4 of the combined table) · calendar-year season
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Primera Nacional dashboard →