Primera Nacional 2026 forecastlive
59% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Promoted | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 43 | 64.9 | 56.4% | 0% |
| 2 | Deportivo Morón | 38 | 63.6 | 50.5% | 0% |
| 3 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 41 | 63.6 | 48.1% | 0% |
| 4 | Temperley | 37 | 58.5 | 10.1% | 0% |
| 5 | Tristán Suárez | 36 | 58.1 | 9.9% | 0% |
| 6 | Atlanta | 36 | 57.0 | 7.3% | 0% |
| 7 | Los Andes | 33 | 56.2 | 5.5% | 0% |
| 8 | Colón (Santa Fe) | 35 | 54.9 | 3.1% | 0% |
| 9 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 34 | 55.0 | 2.7% | 0% |
| 10 | Midland | 33 | 54.6 | 2.5% | 0% |
| 11 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 54.5 | 2% | 0% |
| 12 | Estudiantes (Buenos Aires) | 31 | 51.6 | <1% | 0% |
| 13 | Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 31 | 51.0 | <1% | 0% |
| 14 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 51.0 | <1% | 0% |
| 15 | San Martín (Tucumán) | 30 | 49.7 | <1% | <1% |
| 16 | Deportivo Maipú | 29 | 49.3 | <1% | <1% |
| 17 | San Martín (San Juan) | 26 | 47.7 | <1% | <1% |
| 18 | Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) | 28 | 47.5 | 0% | <1% |
| 19 | Colegiales | 26 | 46.9 | 0% | <1% |
| 20 | Atletico Rafaela | 30 | 46.7 | 0% | <1% |
| 21 | Almagro | 28 | 46.7 | 0% | <1% |
| 22 | Quilmes | 24 | 44.4 | 0% | 3.1% |
| 23 | San Miguel | 26 | 43.9 | 0% | 3.5% |
| 24 | Racing (Córdoba) | 27 | 43.6 | 0% | 3.8% |
| 25 | Nueva Chicago | 26 | 43.3 | 0% | 4.5% |
| 26 | Defensores de Belgrano | 24 | 42.2 | 0% | 8.1% |
| 27 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 42.0 | 0% | 8.9% |
| 28 | Patronato | 22 | 40.6 | 0% | 14.7% |
| 29 | Agropecuario | 23 | 39.9 | 0% | 21.4% |
| 30 | All Boys | 23 | 39.4 | 0% | 22.8% |
| 31 | Mitre (Santiago del Estero) | 22 | 38.3 | 0% | 31.5% |
| 32 | Chaco For Ever | 19 | 37.1 | 0% | 43.5% |
| 33 | Acassuso | 20 | 36.9 | 0% | 45.8% |
| 34 | San Telmo | 20 | 36.5 | 0% | 46% |
| 35 | Central Norte | 19 | 35.2 | 0% | 62.6% |
| 36 | Güemes | 19 | 33.5 | 0% | 76.1% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
WARNING — the real format splits 36 clubs into two zones of 18 that play almost exclusively within their own zone; this page combines them into ONE table, so ranks compare teams that did not play the same schedule · in reality the two zone winners meet for the first promotion spot and 2nd-8th in each zone enter the Torneo Reducido for the second (neither is modeled) · the bottom 2 of each zone are relegated (shown here as the bottom 4 of the combined table) · calendar-year season
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Primera Nacional dashboard →