Entenser

Primera Nacional 2026 forecastfull forecast

77% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
Relegation
96.2%
Relegation
94.1%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampPromotedReleg
1Ferro Carril Oeste5466.234.3%59.4%0%
2Deportivo Morón5265.532.7%59.7%0%
3Tristán Suárez4864.119.2%38.9%0%
4Temperley4962.57.6%20.8%0%
5Deportivo Madryn4660.53.3%10.3%0%
6Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)4960.01.9%6.2%0%
7Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba4657.8<1%2%0%
8Almirante Brown4557.0<1%<1%0%
9Colón (Santa Fe)4556.6<1%<1%0%
10Atlanta4556.0<1%<1%0%
11Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta)4455.4<1%<1%0%
12San Martín (San Juan)4154.30%<1%0%
13Midland4152.40%0%0%
14Deportivo Maipú3951.00%0%0%
15Atletico Rafaela3948.50%0%0%
16Colegiales3748.40%0%0%
17Ciudad de Bolívar3848.10%0%0%
18Estudiantes (Buenos Aires)3647.40%0%0%
19Los Andes3646.60%0%0%
20San Martín (Tucumán)3646.40%0%0%
21Racing (Córdoba)3543.60%0%<1%
22Agropecuario3343.50%0%1.1%
23Chaco For Ever3243.20%0%1.4%
24Quilmes3242.90%0%1.6%
25Almagro3443.50%0%1.1%
26Nueva Chicago3240.90%0%6%
27Mitre (Santiago del Estero)3140.50%0%10%
28All Boys3140.40%0%9.3%
29Defensores de Belgrano3039.90%0%11.2%
30Central Norte3039.90%0%12.6%
31Patronato2939.20%0%17.1%
32San Miguel2938.20%0%28.4%
33San Telmo2836.90%0%46.7%
34Chacarita Juniors2735.70%0%62.4%
35Güemes2331.30%0%94.1%
36Acassuso2330.90%0%96.2%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Gimnasia y Tiro (Salta) vs Tristán Suárez34.8% W · 36.5% D · 28.7% L
Sat Sep 12Atlanta vs Güemes62.7% W · 24.3% D · 13% L
Sat Sep 12Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago51.1% W · 32.3% D · 16.6% L
Sat Sep 12Almagro vs Deportivo Maipú33.4% W · 34.8% D · 31.9% L
Sat Sep 12Quilmes vs San Martín (San Juan)37.7% W · 34.1% D · 28.2% L
Sat Sep 12Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte43.7% W · 34.2% D · 22.1% L
Sat Sep 12All Boys vs San Telmo41.6% W · 37.7% D · 20.8% L
Sun Sep 13Mitre (Santiago del Estero) vs Chaco For Ever35.2% W · 33.4% D · 31.4% L

Competition rules

WARNING — the real format splits 36 clubs into two zones of 18 that play almost exclusively within their own zone; this page combines them into ONE table, so ranks compare teams that did not play the same schedule · in reality the two zone winners meet for the first promotion spot and 2nd-8th in each zone enter the Torneo Reducido for the second (neither is modeled) · the bottom 2 of each zone are relegated (shown here as the bottom 4 of the combined table) · calendar-year season

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Ferro Carril OesteDeportivo MorónTemperleyGimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)Tristán SuárezDeportivo Madryn

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Primera Nacional dashboard →

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