Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 forecastlive
54% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 39 | 61.3 | 37.2% | 97.8% |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 37 | 59.1 | 19.1% | 93.9% |
| 3 | River Plate | 36 | 57.9 | 17.3% | 90.6% |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 35 | 56.9 | 12.9% | 87.3% |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 31 | 54.7 | 5% | 75.1% |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 32 | 54.0 | 3.5% | 68.1% |
| 7 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 31 | 53.0 | 2.3% | 64% |
| 8 | Vélez Sarsfield | 31 | 51.7 | 1% | 51.9% |
| 9 | Racing Club | 28 | 50.1 | <1% | 37.6% |
| 10 | Independiente | 27 | 49.3 | <1% | 31.1% |
| 11 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 49.5 | <1% | 30% |
| 12 | Huracán | 27 | 48.2 | <1% | 24.8% |
| 13 | Unión (Santa Fe) | 25 | 46.3 | 0% | 13.7% |
| 14 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 26 | 46.1 | 0% | 12.1% |
| 15 | Barracas Central | 24 | 44.8 | 0% | 7.6% |
| 16 | Lanús | 24 | 44.6 | 0% | 7.2% |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 23 | 43.1 | 0% | 3.6% |
| 18 | Instituto (Córdoba) | 21 | 40.4 | 0% | 1.1% |
| 19 | Tigre | 20 | 39.6 | 0% | <1% |
| 20 | Gimnasia (Mendoza) | 22 | 39.8 | 0% | <1% |
| 21 | Defensa y Justicia | 20 | 38.1 | 0% | <1% |
| 22 | Banfield | 18 | 37.3 | 0% | <1% |
| 23 | Sarmiento (Junín) | 19 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% |
| 24 | Newell's Old Boys | 18 | 35.7 | 0% | <1% |
| 25 | Platense | 17 | 34.5 | 0% | 0% |
| 26 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 34.4 | 0% | 0% |
| 27 | Atlético Tucumán | 15 | 33.8 | 0% | 0% |
| 28 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 33.9 | 0% | 0% |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 9 | 25.7 | 0% | 0% |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 8 | 21.7 | 0% | 0% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 8 reach Libertadores/Sudamericana (a rough approximation — Argentina's real qualification and relegation rules have changed repeatedly across recent seasons; relegation is not modeled here, see the expansion report's Tier-1 caveat)
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Liga Profesional Argentina dashboard →