Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 forecastfull forecast
76% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Juniors | 51 | 63.0 | 56.7% | 99.9% |
| 2 | Belgrano (Córdoba) | 48 | 60.0 | 19.8% | 99.2% |
| 3 | River Plate | 46 | 58.0 | 10.2% | 97% |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 45 | 56.3 | 5.1% | 91.4% |
| 5 | Vélez Sarsfield | 44 | 56.0 | 2.3% | 89% |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 44 | 55.6 | 2.2% | 85.6% |
| 7 | Gimnasia La Plata | 44 | 55.3 | 2.1% | 80.7% |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 42 | 54.5 | 1.6% | 79.6% |
| 9 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 38 | 49.5 | 0% | 25% |
| 10 | Instituto (Córdoba) | 37 | 48.5 | 0% | 15% |
| 11 | Unión (Santa Fe) | 37 | 48.0 | 0% | 13.7% |
| 12 | Independiente | 37 | 48.0 | 0% | 12.2% |
| 13 | Gimnasia (Mendoza) | 35 | 46.6 | 0% | 5.4% |
| 14 | Huracán | 34 | 44.7 | 0% | 2.3% |
| 15 | Sarmiento (Junín) | 34 | 44.4 | 0% | 1.6% |
| 16 | Tigre | 32 | 42.7 | 0% | <1% |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 33 | 43.0 | 0% | <1% |
| 18 | Defensa y Justicia | 33 | 43.0 | 0% | <1% |
| 19 | Barracas Central | 32 | 42.6 | 0% | <1% |
| 20 | Lanús | 31 | 41.8 | 0% | <1% |
| 21 | Talleres (Córdoba) | 31 | 40.9 | 0% | <1% |
| 22 | Racing Club | 30 | 40.9 | 0% | <1% |
| 23 | Atlético Tucumán | 27 | 37.5 | 0% | 0% |
| 24 | Newell's Old Boys | 27 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% |
| 25 | Banfield | 25 | 34.4 | 0% | 0% |
| 26 | Platense | 25 | 34.3 | 0% | 0% |
| 27 | Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) | 23 | 32.4 | 0% | 0% |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 20 | 30.5 | 0% | 0% |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 13 | 22.4 | 0% | 0% |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 11 | 18.1 | 0% | 0% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Top 8 reach Libertadores/Sudamericana (a rough approximation — Argentina's real qualification and relegation rules have changed repeatedly across recent seasons; relegation is not modeled here, see the expansion report's Tier-1 caveat)
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
Argentinos JuniorsBelgrano (Córdoba)River PlateIndependiente RivadaviaVélez SarsfieldRosario Central
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Liga Profesional Argentina dashboard →