Entenser

División de Honor 2026 forecastfull forecast

73% of the season played · updated 2026-09-15
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
96.9%
Champ
<1%
Relegation
>99%
Relegation
55.3%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampContinentalReleg
1Club Olimpia6889.296.9%>99%0%
2Nacional Asunción5777.72.6%>99%0%
3Libertad5372.7<1%>99%0%
4Cerro Porteño5271.6<1%>99%0%
5Sportivo Trinidense4968.90%99.9%0%
6Sportivo Ameliano4964.90%99.8%0%
7Guaraní4360.40%96.7%0%
82 de Mayo4357.50%87.9%0%
9Deportivo Recoleta3550.00%14.9%3.7%
10Sportivo Luqueño3043.10%<1%40.9%
11Rubio Ñú3142.40%<1%55.3%
12Sportivo San Lorenzo1623.30%0%>99%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Thu Oct 22Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad41.9% W · 29% D · 29.2% L
Thu Oct 22Guaraní vs Nacional Asunción30.2% W · 35.1% D · 34.7% L
Thu Oct 22Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo58.5% W · 27.1% D · 14.4% L
Thu Oct 22Club Olimpia vs 2 de Mayo54.1% W · 28.2% D · 17.7% L
Thu Oct 22Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo Ameliano45.8% W · 31.3% D · 22.9% L
Thu Oct 22Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio Ñú53.4% W · 24.3% D · 22.3% L
Thu Oct 292 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta42.2% W · 27.6% D · 30.3% L
Thu Oct 29Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño62.2% W · 22.1% D · 15.7% L

Competition rules

Paraguay holds 4 Copa Libertadores and 4 Copa Sudamericana berths — 8 of 12 clubs qualify for continental football, so the green line sits unusually deep · the Apertura and Clausura champions take the two automatic Libertadores places, the rest come off the aggregate table (not modeled here — this is a plain combined-season table) · bottom 2 relegated on a 3-year rolling average (not modeled) · calendar-year season

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Club OlimpiaNacional AsunciónLibertadCerro PorteñoSportivo TrinidenseSportivo Ameliano

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive División de Honor dashboard →

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