Categoría Primera A 2026 forecastfull forecast
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 55 | 82.1 | 97.4% | >99% | 0% |
| 2 | América de Cali | 53 | 71.0 | 2.5% | >99% | 0% |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 47 | 63.8 | <1% | 98.2% | 0% |
| 4 | Independiente Santa Fe | 42 | 60.1 | 0% | 86.6% | 0% |
| 5 | Independiente Medellín | 41 | 58.5 | 0% | 74% | 0% |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 42 | 58.1 | 0% | 74% | 0% |
| 7 | Millonarios | 42 | 56.2 | 0% | 61.8% | 0% |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 39 | 56.6 | 0% | 59.4% | 0% |
| 9 | Atlético Bucaramanga | 36 | 56.0 | 0% | 55.8% | 0% |
| 10 | Atlético Junior | 38 | 56.4 | 0% | 55.3% | 0% |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 36 | 51.3 | 0% | 13.6% | 0% |
| 12 | Deportivo Pasto | 39 | 51.1 | 0% | 10.6% | 0% |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 39 | 50.7 | 0% | 10.1% | 0% |
| 14 | Llaneros FC | 33 | 45.3 | 0% | <1% | 0% |
| 15 | Fortaleza CEIF | 30 | 40.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
| 16 | Boyacá Chicó FC | 25 | 36.6 | 0% | 0% | 17.1% |
| 17 | Jaguares de Córdoba | 25 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 14.3% |
| 18 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 25 | 35.9 | 0% | 0% | 15.2% |
| 19 | Alianza FC | 22 | 32.2 | 0% | 0% | 60.1% |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 26.8 | 0% | 0% | 92.6% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Season splits into Apertura and Clausura round-robin tournaments, each followed by an 8-team playoff (not modeled here — this is a combined single table of all matches played) · the two tournament champions plus the next 2 in the aggregate table reach the Copa Libertadores, the next 3 reach the Copa Sudamericana (approximate) · bottom 2 relegated by a 3-year rolling average table (not modeled here) · calendar-year season
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Categoría Primera A dashboard →