Liga de Primera 2026 forecastfull forecast
76% of the season played · updated 2026-09-15
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 54 | 66.2 | 99.3% | >99% | 0% |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 42 | 53.7 | <1% | >99% | 0% |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 42 | 53.4 | <1% | >99% | 0% |
| 4 | Everton CD | 36 | 46.2 | 0% | 92.2% | 0% |
| 5 | Palestino | 36 | 45.6 | 0% | 88.9% | 0% |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 33 | 43.0 | 0% | 68.8% | 0% |
| 7 | Deportes Concepcion | 31 | 41.0 | 0% | 41.1% | 0% |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 29 | 40.7 | 0% | 40.8% | <1% |
| 9 | Ñublense | 32 | 40.8 | 0% | 35.8% | <1% |
| 10 | La Serena | 30 | 38.2 | 0% | 13.3% | <1% |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 28 | 36.9 | 0% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 36.3 | 0% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| 13 | Huachipato | 25 | 36.2 | 0% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 32.8 | 0% | <1% | 25.1% |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepción | 22 | 30.5 | 0% | <1% | 62% |
| 16 | Unión La Calera | 17 | 24.2 | 0% | 0% | 98.4% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion, runner-up, and the Copa Chile winner reach the Copa Libertadores; 4th-7th reach the Copa Sudamericana (approximate — the Copa Chile-linked spot creates a gap at 3rd that a simple cut line can't represent) · bottom 2 relegated by a 3-year rolling average table (not modeled here — this is the single-season table) · calendar-year season
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Liga de Primera dashboard →