Liga de Primera 2026 forecastlive
53% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Champ | Continental | Releg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 39 | 62.7 | 93.3% | >99% | 0% |
| 2 | Universidad Católica | 27 | 49.9 | 2.6% | 94.9% | 0% |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | 49.7 | 2.5% | 94.9% | 0% |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 47.7 | 1.1% | 87.6% | 0% |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 43.5 | <1% | 60.8% | <1% |
| 6 | Ñublense | 25 | 43.4 | <1% | 61.2% | <1% |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 42.6 | <1% | 54.9% | <1% |
| 8 | Everton CD | 23 | 41.5 | <1% | 47.6% | 1% |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 21 | 41.3 | 0% | 47.2% | 1.4% |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 20 | 37.8 | 0% | 17.4% | 5.7% |
| 11 | La Serena | 19 | 37.0 | 0% | 14.2% | 7.6% |
| 12 | Universidad de Concepción | 19 | 34.8 | 0% | 6.6% | 20.1% |
| 13 | Deportes Concepcion | 17 | 34.4 | 0% | 5.7% | 20.2% |
| 14 | Audax Italiano | 16 | 33.9 | 0% | 5.3% | 22% |
| 15 | Cobresal | 14 | 31.2 | 0% | 1.5% | 46.7% |
| 16 | Unión La Calera | 13 | 28.1 | 0% | <1% | 74.4% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Champion, runner-up, and the Copa Chile winner reach the Copa Libertadores; 4th-7th reach the Copa Sudamericana (approximate — the Copa Chile-linked spot creates a gap at 3rd that a simple cut line can't represent) · bottom 2 relegated by a 3-year rolling average table (not modeled here — this is the single-season table) · calendar-year season
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Liga de Primera dashboard →