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Primera División (El Salvador) 2026 forecastfull forecast

42% of the season played · updated 2026-09-15
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Best
56.6%
Relegation
46%
Relegation
39.4%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjBestPlayoffsReleg
1CD FAS1643.356.6%99.6%0%
2Luis Ángel Firpo1439.219.7%96.8%0%
3Internacional Santa Tecla1837.413%94.9%0%
4CD Municipal Limeño1736.15.1%91.7%0%
5Isidro Metapán1935.64.3%90.4%0%
6Alianza FC931.11%56%<1%
7Águila1129.4<1%42.8%<1%
8C.D. Platense1225.80%13.2%<1%
9Atletico Balboa1225.70%12.9%<1%
10Cacahuatique720.30%1.4%12.8%
11Fuerte San Francisco617.10%<1%39.4%
12Inca Aruba817.00%<1%46%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Oct 24CD Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique54.9% W · 27.6% D · 17.5% L
Sat Oct 24Inca Aruba vs Internacional Santa Tecla13.8% W · 28% D · 58.2% L
Sat Oct 24Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa24.4% W · 33.3% D · 42.3% L
Sun Oct 25Alianza FC vs Isidro Metapán42.3% W · 30.4% D · 27.3% L
Sun Oct 25Águila vs CD FAS24.6% W · 29.5% D · 45.9% L
Sun Oct 25C.D. Platense vs Luis Ángel Firpo19.2% W · 27.5% D · 53.3% L
Sat Oct 31Internacional Santa Tecla vs C.D. Platense50.8% W · 28.6% D · 20.7% L
Sat Oct 31Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba54.4% W · 28.7% D · 16.9% L

Competition rules

Apertura and Clausura combined into a single table here · the title is decided in a playoff the sim does not play · bottom club relegated (approximate — the real relegation uses an aggregate of both tournaments)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Isidro MetapánInternacional Santa TeclaCD Municipal LimeñoCD FASLuis Ángel FirpoAtletico Balboa

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Primera División (El Salvador) dashboard →

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