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Primera División (El Salvador) 2026 forecastfull forecast

38% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Best
49.7%
Relegation
48%
Relegation
33.4%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjBestPlayoffsReleg
1CD FAS1643.449.7%99.7%0%
2Luis Ángel Firpo1442.140.3%99.1%0%
3Internacional Santa Tecla1535.34.5%90.2%0%
4CD Municipal Limeño1434.72.7%86.9%0%
5Isidro Metapán1633.01.7%78.9%0%
6Alianza FC931.1<1%62.9%<1%
7Águila828.5<1%38%<1%
8C.D. Platense1228.0<1%33.8%<1%
9Cacahuatique722.10%5.2%9.1%
10Atletico Balboa922.00%4.1%8.2%
11Fuerte San Francisco618.50%<1%33.4%
12Inca Aruba817.50%<1%48%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Atletico Balboa vs C.D. Platense30.1% W · 32.9% D · 37.1% L
Sat Sep 12Águila vs Inca Aruba65.3% W · 25% D · 9.7% L
Sun Sep 13Luis Ángel Firpo vs Isidro Metapán56.1% W · 27.7% D · 16.2% L
Sun Sep 13Fuerte San Francisco vs CD Municipal Limeño16.2% W · 30.4% D · 53.4% L
Sun Sep 13Cacahuatique vs Internacional Santa Tecla29.5% W · 30.2% D · 40.3% L
Sun Sep 13CD FAS vs Alianza FC56.1% W · 26.1% D · 17.8% L
Thu Sep 17Internacional Santa Tecla vs CD FAS23.1% W · 29.6% D · 47.3% L
Thu Sep 17Luis Ángel Firpo vs Alianza FC52% W · 28.1% D · 20% L

Competition rules

Apertura and Clausura combined into a single table here · the title is decided in a playoff the sim does not play · bottom club relegated (approximate — the real relegation uses an aggregate of both tournaments)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

CD FASIsidro MetapánInternacional Santa TeclaLuis Ángel FirpoCD Municipal LimeñoC.D. Platense

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Primera División (El Salvador) dashboard →

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