Entenser

Northern Super League 2026 forecastlive

51% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
27.4%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampBestPlayoffs
1Ottawa Rapid FC3153.136%90.9%>99%
2Montreal Roses FC2442.524.2%5.7%98.3%
3AFC Toronto1841.327.4%3.3%97.7%
4Vancouver Rise FC1632.85.6%<1%56.2%
5Halifax Tides FC1731.76.8%0%47.8%
6Calgary Wild FC29.00%0%0%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Tue Jul 28AFC Toronto vs Calgary Wild FC74.4% W · 16.6% D · 9% L
Thu Jul 30Vancouver Rise FC vs Montreal Roses FC25.8% W · 20.9% D · 53.3% L
Sat Aug 1Calgary Wild FC vs AFC Toronto9% W · 16.6% D · 74.4% L
Mon Aug 3Halifax Tides FC vs Ottawa Rapid FC21.1% W · 27.7% D · 51.2% L
Fri Aug 7Montreal Roses FC vs Halifax Tides FC42.4% W · 33.7% D · 24% L
Sat Aug 8Vancouver Rise FC vs Calgary Wild FC69.6% W · 15.1% D · 15.3% L
Sun Aug 9Ottawa Rapid FC vs AFC Toronto39% W · 26.3% D · 34.7% L
Sat Aug 15Calgary Wild FC vs Ottawa Rapid FC6.6% W · 11% D · 82.4% L

Competition rules

Canada's women's first division, founded 2025 · single table of 6 clubs; top 4 reach the playoffs (two-legged semifinals then a final at a neutral host — not modeled) · no relegation · calendar-year season · only two seasons of history exist, so ELO priors are thin

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Northern Super League dashboard →

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