Entenser

Northern Super League 2026 forecastfull forecast

77% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Champ
36.8%
Champ
18.7%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjChampBestPlayoffs
1Montreal Roses FC3846.530.3%77%>99%
2AFC Toronto3342.436.8%10.1%99.9%
3Ottawa Rapid FC3341.818.7%12.8%99.9%
4Halifax Tides FC2431.28.6%0%54.5%
5Vancouver Rise FC2331.25.6%0%45.6%
6Calgary Wild FC1115.90%0%0%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Sep 12Calgary Wild FC vs Halifax Tides FC23.8% W · 30.8% D · 45.4% L
Sun Sep 13Vancouver Rise FC vs Ottawa Rapid FC33.6% W · 17.3% D · 49% L
Sat Sep 19Halifax Tides FC vs AFC Toronto19.1% W · 35.9% D · 45% L
Sat Sep 19Vancouver Rise FC vs Montreal Roses FC25.4% W · 19.3% D · 55.3% L
Sun Sep 20Ottawa Rapid FC vs Calgary Wild FC67.1% W · 15.9% D · 17% L
Sat Sep 26AFC Toronto vs Ottawa Rapid FC51.1% W · 22.6% D · 26.3% L
Sun Sep 27Calgary Wild FC vs Vancouver Rise FC21.8% W · 17.3% D · 60.9% L
Sun Sep 27Halifax Tides FC vs Montreal Roses FC22.6% W · 32.3% D · 45.1% L

Competition rules

Canada's women's first division, founded 2025 · single table of 6 clubs; top 4 reach the playoffs (two-legged semifinals then a final at a neutral host — not modeled) · no relegation · calendar-year season · only two seasons of history exist, so ELO priors are thin

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Montreal Roses FCAFC TorontoOttawa Rapid FCHalifax Tides FCVancouver Rise FCCalgary Wild FC

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Northern Super League dashboard →

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