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Liga Nacional (Guatemala) 2026 forecastfull forecast

40% of the season played · updated 2026-09-15
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Best
63.6%
Best
29.8%
Relegation
79.6%
Relegation
7.1%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjBestPlayoffsReleg
1Municipal2047.163.6%>99%0%
2Antigua GFC2143.629.8%99.8%0%
3Deportivo San Pedro1738.73.5%98%0%
4Xelajú MC1137.12.1%95.2%0%
5CD Guastatoya1636.3<1%94.6%0%
6Marquense1330.00%49.5%<1%
7Deportivo Mixco1328.60%38.1%<1%
8Comunicaciones925.60%12.8%1.5%
9CD Malacateco923.20%5%4.5%
10Aurora FC922.20%4%7.1%
11Cobán Imperial622.30%3.1%6.9%
12Suchitepequez515.00%0%79.6%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sun Oct 25Municipal vs Comunicaciones84.3% W · 12.3% D · 3.4% L
Sun Oct 25Marquense vs CD Guastatoya45.4% W · 27.2% D · 27.5% L
Sun Oct 25Deportivo Mixco vs Xelajú MC45.1% W · 21.9% D · 33.1% L
Sun Oct 25CD Malacateco vs Aurora FC63.5% W · 21.2% D · 15.3% L
Sun Oct 25Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro56.4% W · 24.8% D · 18.8% L
Sun Oct 25Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepequez78.5% W · 13.8% D · 7.7% L
Sun Nov 1Suchitepequez vs CD Malacateco50.1% W · 22.5% D · 27.4% L
Sun Nov 1Xelajú MC vs Marquense81.1% W · 12.8% D · 6.1% L

Competition rules

Top 6 reach the playoff under the 2026 format (the title is decided there, not by the table) · Apertura and Clausura are combined into a single table here · bottom club relegated on the aggregate season table (approximate)

Follow a club through the season

Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.

Antigua GFCMunicipalDeportivo San PedroCD GuastatoyaDeportivo MixcoMarquense

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Liga Nacional (Guatemala) dashboard →

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