Entenser

Liga Nacional (Guatemala) 2026 forecastlive

5% of the season played · updated 2026-07-28
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Best
45.5%
Best
4.2%
Relegation
60.5%
Relegation
18.6%

Projected table

#ClubPtsProjBestPlayoffsReleg
1Deportivo San Pedro342.746%99.9%0%
2Municipal342.045.5%99.5%0%
3Antigua GFC333.24.2%85.3%<1%
4Xelajú MC032.12.1%76.6%<1%
5CD Guastatoya330.71.2%72.3%<1%
6Cobán Imperial128.6<1%55.6%1.4%
7Deportivo Mixco027.4<1%42.5%3.4%
8Comunicaciones126.3<1%37.8%3.9%
9CD Malacateco123.00%16.8%10.2%
10Suchitepequez122.50%1.2%1%
11Marquense021.80%11.1%18.6%
12Aurora FC016.50%1.4%60.5%

Upcoming matches — win probabilities

Sat Aug 1Deportivo Mixco vs Suchitepequez4.3% W · 94% D · 1.8% L
Sun Aug 2CD Guastatoya vs CD Malacateco70.3% W · 20.5% D · 9.1% L
Sun Aug 2Comunicaciones vs Deportivo San Pedro2.3% W · 61.5% D · 36.2% L
Mon Aug 3Marquense vs Municipal20.2% W · 27.6% D · 52.2% L
Tue Aug 4Xelajú MC vs Aurora FC86.5% W · 10.4% D · 3.1% L
Sat Aug 8CD Malacateco vs Xelajú MC44.3% W · 27.3% D · 28.4% L
Sat Aug 8Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense75.6% W · 16% D · 8.4% L
Sat Aug 8Aurora FC vs Comunicaciones39.6% W · 32.2% D · 28.3% L

Competition rules

Top 6 reach the playoff under the 2026 format (the title is decided there, not by the table) · Apertura and Clausura are combined into a single table here · bottom club relegated on the aggregate season table (approximate)

How these forecasts work

Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.

Open the interactive Liga Nacional (Guatemala) dashboard →

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