Liga Nacional (Honduras) 2026 forecastfull forecast
67% of the season played · updated 2026-09-11
This competition uses a split-round or playoff format that the model approximates as a plain table — details under competition rules below.
Projected table
| # | Club | Pts | Proj | Best | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Deportivo Marathón | 14 | 19.4 | 39.7% | >99% |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Olimpia | 14 | 18.7 | 38.2% | >99% |
| 3 | Real España | 14 | 18.5 | 20.7% | 99.9% |
| 4 | FC Motagua | 10 | 15.0 | 1% | 92% |
| 5 | Génesis PN | 10 | 13.4 | <1% | 75.5% |
| 6 | Olancho FC | 9 | 13.2 | 0% | 68.3% |
| 7 | CD Estrella Roja | 8 | 12.5 | 0% | 49.7% |
| 8 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 6 | 9.7 | 0% | 9.6% |
| 9 | Platense | 4 | 8.5 | 0% | 3.6% |
| 10 | CD Choloma | 4 | 7.1 | 0% | 1.2% |
| 11 | UPNFM | 2 | 5.4 | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | Juticalpa FC | 3 | 5.3 | 0% | <1% |
Upcoming matches — win probabilities
Competition rules
Apertura and Clausura combined into a single table here · from 2026-27 the 12 clubs are drawn into two geographic groups (North/Centre) over a 16-round regular phase — that grouping is NOT modeled, this is one combined table · the title is decided in a playoff the sim does not play · relegation decided on a multi-season average, not modeled
Follow a club through the season
Current forecasts for every club stay free. Entenser Club Watch follows one club's season and explains what changed and what the next match can change.
How these forecasts work
Entenser estimates football outcomes from match results, expected goals, and team-strength ratings. Every forecast is graded in public after the fact, with hits and misses shown together.
Open the interactive Liga Nacional (Honduras) dashboard →